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Dr. William I. Tierney, Jr.   E-mail: wtierney@agecon.ksu.edu
Copyright 1998. All rights reserved by author.

Disclaimer: This web page is designed to aid farmers with their marketing and risk management decisions. The risk of loss in trading futures, options, forward contracts, and hedge-to-arrive can be substantial and no warranty is given or implied by the author or any other party. Each farmer must consider whether such marketing strategies are appropriate for his or her situation. This web page does not represent the views of Kansas State University.

 

Andale (soybeans)

MONTHLY AVERAGE SOYBEAN PRICE (AVERAGE OF WEDNESDAY PRICES)

(Cents/Bu.)

YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 851 792 783 754 728 702 757 769 817 756 652 635   750
1984 595 600 598 577 571 565 580 585 569 567 550 503   572
1985 495 475 484 496 503 494 504 500 517 517 511 518   501
1986 481 444 461 448 453 454 468 484 519 539 517 491   480
1987 495 485 505 547 577 584 590 630 689 842 801 818   630
1988 810 765 740 751 746 722 740 707 705 689 682 578   719
1989 560 528 541 546 537 539 547 561 589 580 588 588   559
1990 590 581 552 558 541 551 561 570 561 558 530 535   557
1991 573 549 541 537 550 549 567 553 585 587 549 521   555
1992 528 501 523 533 543 539 554 563 572 572 679 657   563
1993 623 578 634 659 672 661 669 647 663 668 575 542   633
1994 522 502 529 530 520 520 530 538 537 555 590 578   538
1995 606 625 654 692 712 702 695 761 773 733 750 767   706
1996 744 675 669 669 694 734 793 820 838 810 741 691   740
1997 642 629 681 659 634 637 628 611 614 609 601 517   622
1998 482 504 537 530                   513
1999                            
2000                            
                             

SEASONAL INDEX (MONTHLY PRICE AS A PERCENT OF SEASON AVERAGE PRICE)

                             
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 113% 106% 104% 101% 97% 94% 101% 103% 109% 101% 87% 85%   100%
1984 104% 105% 105% 101% 100% 99% 101% 102% 99% 99% 96% 88%   100%
1985 99% 95% 97% 99% 100% 99% 101% 100% 103% 103% 102% 103%   100%
1986 100% 93% 96% 93% 94% 95% 98% 101% 108% 112% 108% 102%   100%
1987 78% 77% 80% 87% 92% 93% 94% 100% 109% 134% 127% 130%   100%
1988 113% 106% 103% 104% 104% 100% 103% 98% 98% 96% 95% 80%   100%
1989 100% 95% 97% 98% 96% 96% 98% 100% 105% 104% 105% 105%   100%
1990 106% 104% 99% 100% 97% 99% 101% 102% 101% 100% 95% 96%   100%
1991 103% 99% 97% 97% 99% 99% 102% 100% 105% 106% 99% 94%   100%
1992 94% 89% 93% 95% 96% 96% 98% 100% 101% 101% 120% 117%   100%
1993 99% 91% 100% 104% 106% 104% 106% 102% 105% 106% 91% 86%   100%
1994 97% 93% 98% 99% 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 103% 110% 107%   100%
1995 86% 89% 93% 98% 101% 99% 98% 108% 110% 104% 106% 109%   100%
1996 101% 91% 90% 90% 94% 99% 107% 111% 113% 109% 100% 93%   100%
1997 103% 101% 110% 106% 102% 102% 101% 98% 99% 98% 97% 83%   100%
1998 94% 98% 105% 103%                   100%
1999                            
2000                            
                             

MONTHLY AVERAGE NEARBY SOYBEAN BASIS (AVERAGE OF WEDNESDAY PRICES)

(Cents/Bu.)

YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 -53 -40 -49 -33 -39 -27 -32 -21 -33 -29 -19 -1   -31
1984 -21 -12 -24 -14 -21 -15 -15 -14 -12 -8 -2 -12   -14
1985 -19 -29 -27 -25 -42 -32 -33 -30 -17 -13 -4 41   -19
1986 4 -36 -41 -45 -44 -36 -22 -26 -35 -26 -17 -18   -29
1987 -29 -55 -60 -48 -47 -35 -39 -41 -47 -52 -102 -41   -50
1988 -51 -32 -43 -32 -43 -30 -31 -26 -25 -38 -8 -4   -30
1989 -15 -35 -41 -29 -36 -29 -44 -36 -47 -22 -15 -15   -30
1990 -36 -35 -30 -26 -29 -22 -25 -17 -19 -14 -10 -24   -24
1991 -26 -17 -21 -20 -16 -25 -29 -21 -22 -26 -29 -27   -23
1992 -22 -38 -39 -34 -38 -34 -32 -31 -31 -30 -28 -20   -31
1993 -17 -36 -37 -25 -29 -20 -17 -17 -15 -16 -26 -31   -24
1994 -42 -38 -35 -32 -36 -34 -45 -37 -46 -37 -27 -19   -36
1995 -30 -31 -31 -29 -34 -29 -34 -27 -41 -38 -30 -27   -32
1996 -50 -42 -30 -31 -26 -30 -36 -37 -25 -18 13 27   -24
1997 1 -43 -42 -40 -39 -35 -30 -28 -25 -23 -26 -22   -29
1998 -40 -44 -39 -32                   -39
1999                            
2000                            
                             
                             
   

CASH PRICES

 

NEARBY BASIS

   
   

10 YEAR SEAS. INDEX

 

10 YEAR SEASONAL

   
        AVG AVG         AVG AVG      
      STD +STD -STD THIS     STD +STD -STD THIS    
    AVG DEV DEV DEV YEAR   AVG DEV DEV DEV YEAR    
MONTH  

(% of Season Avg. Price)

(c/bu)

 

(Cents/Bu.)

   
=   = = = = =   = = = = =    
SEP   100% 7% 107% 93% 482   -29 16 -13 -44 -39.9    
OCT   96% 6% 102% 90% 504   -35 7 -28 -42 -44.2    
NOV   98% 5% 103% 93% 537   -35 7 -28 -41 -39.3    
DEC   99% 5% 104% 95% 530   -30 5 -25 -35 -32    
JAN   99% 4% 103% 96%     -33 8 -25 -40      
FEB   99% 3% 102% 97%     -29 5 -24 -34      
MAR   101% 3% 104% 98%     -32 8 -24 -40      
APR   102% 4% 106% 98%     -28 7 -20 -35      
MAY   104% 5% 108% 99%     -30 11 -19 -40      
JUN   103% 4% 107% 99%     -26 9 -17 -35      
JUL   102% 8% 110% 94%     -18 13 -5 -32      
AUG   97% 11% 109% 86%     -16 16 0 -32      

Last Updated on 2/20/99
By Agricultural Economics

 

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