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Dr. William I. Tierney, Jr.   E-mail: wtierney@agecon.ksu.edu
Copyright 1998. All rights reserved by author.

Disclaimer: This web page is designed to aid farmers with their marketing and risk management decisions. The risk of loss in trading futures, options, forward contracts, and hedge-to-arrive can be substantial and no warranty is given or implied by the author or any other party. Each farmer must consider whether such marketing strategies are appropriate for his or her situation. This web page does not represent the views of Kansas State University.

 

 

Great Bend (soybeans)

MONTHLY AVERAGE SOYBEAN PRICE (AVERAGE OF WEDNESDAY PRICES)
(Cents/Bu.)
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 837 779 771 741 715 689 744 756 805 743 641 622   737
1984 585 585 585 563 556 551 566 571 554 553 536 490   558
1985 478 461 469 480 487 478 490 475 502 502 497 475   483
1986 469 431 444 432 436 438 451 467 504 522 501 477   464
1987 478 468 488 530 561 567 573 614 662 829 781 800   613
1988 803 753 737 748                   760
1989         526 527 536 549 578 565 577 573   554
1990 580 573 542 548 530 538 548 558 551 548 520 524   547
1991 563 539 531 528 535 540 557 546 575 578 540 513   545
1992 519 493 514 525                   513
1993         660 648 656 635 651 655 561 527   624
1994 508 488 517 518 507 507 516 527 525 543 577 559   524
1995 593 609 637 678 697 689 683 748 761 726 735 754   692
1996 745 656 652 657 686 726 791 818 833 797 743 678   732
1997 622 616 665 651 631 629 615 601 605 601 594 511   612
1998 483 487 523 514 #### #### #### #### #### #### #### ####   ####
1999                            
2000                            
                             

SEASONAL INDEX (MONTHLY PRICE AS A PERCENT OF SEASON AVERAGE PRICE)

                             
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 114% 106% 105% 101% 97% 93% 101% 103% 109% 101% 87% 84%   100%
1984 105% 105% 105% 101% 100% 99% 101% 102% 99% 99% 96% 88%   100%
1985 99% 95% 97% 99% 101% 99% 101% 98% 104% 104% 103% 98%   100%
1986 101% 93% 96% 93% 94% 94% 97% 101% 109% 112% 108% 103%   100%
1987 78% 76% 80% 86% 92% 93% 93% 100% 108% 135% 127% 131%   100%
1988 106% 99% 97% 98% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%   33%
1989 0% 0% 0% 0% 95% 95% 97% 99% 104% 102% 104% 103%   67%
1990 106% 105% 99% 100% 97% 98% 100% 102% 101% 100% 95% 96%   100%
1991 103% 99% 97% 97% 98% 99% 102% 100% 105% 106% 99% 94%   100%
1992 101% 96% 100% 102% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%   33%
1993 0% 0% 0% 0% 106% 104% 105% 102% 104% 105% 90% 84%   67%
1994 97% 93% 99% 99% 97% 97% 98% 100% 100% 104% 110% 107%   100%
1995 86% 88% 92% 98% 101% 99% 99% 108% 110% 105% 106% 109%   100%
1996 102% 90% 89% 90% 94% 99% 108% 112% 114% 109% 102% 93%   100%
1997 102% 101% 109% 106% 103% 103% 101% 98% 99% 98% 97% 83%   100%
1998 #### #### #### ####                   ####
1999                            
2000                            
                             
MONTHLY AVERAGE NEARBY SOYBEAN BASIS (AVERAGE OF WEDNESDAY PRICES)
(Cents/Bu.)
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 -67 -54 -61 -46 -52 -39 -45 -34 -45 -42 -29 -14   -44
1984 -31 -27 -36 -28 -36 -29 -28 -28 -27 -22 -16 -25   -28
1985 -36 -44 -42 -41 -58 -47 -47 -55 -32 -28 -19 -2   -37
1986 -8 -50 -58 -61 -61 -52 -39 -43 -51 -44 -34 -32   -44
1987 -46 -72 -77 -65 -63 -52 -56 -58 -74 -65 -122 -59   -67
1988 -57 -44 -45 -35                   -45
1989         -47 -41 -56 -48 -58 -37 -27 -31   -43
1990 -45 -42 -40 -35 -40 -35 -38 -29 -29 -23 -19 -34   -34
1991 -35 -27 -22 -29 -31 -35 -38 -27 -32 -35 -38 -35   -32
1992 -31 -45 -48 -43                   -42
1993         -41 -34 -30 -29 -28 -29 -40 -46   -35
1994 -55 -52 -48 -44 -49 -47 -59 -48 -57 -50 -40 -37   -49
1995 -43 -47 -47 -42 -48 -42 -46 -40 -53 -46 -45 -40   -45
1996 -49 -39 -47 -42 -33 -38 -38 -40 -30 -31 15 15   -30
1997 -19 -56 -58 -49 -42 -44 -44 -38 -34 -31 -33 -29   -40
1998 -39 -62 -53 -48                   -50
1999                            
2000                            
                             
                             
   

CASH PRICES

NEARBY BASIS

   
   

10 YEAR SEAS. INDEX

10 YEAR SEASONAL

   
        AVG AVG         AVG AVG      
      STD +STD -STD THIS     STD +STD -STD THIS    
    AVG DEV DEV DEV YEAR   AVG DEV DEV DEV YEAR    
MONTH  

(% of Season Avg. Price)

(c/bu)

 

(Cents/Bu.)

   
=   = = = = =   = = = = =    
SEP   80% 40% 121% 40% 483   -42 12 -30 -54 -39    
OCT   77% 39% 116% 38% 487   -44 8 -36 -52 -61.7    
NOV   78% 39% 118% 39% 523   -44 10 -35 -54 -53.3    
DEC   79% 40% 119% 39% 514   -40 6 -34 -46 -47.8    
JAN   79% 40% 119% 39%     -42 6 -35 -48      
FEB   79% 40% 119% 40%     -40 5 -35 -44      
MAR   81% 41% 122% 40%     -43 9 -34 -52      
APR   82% 41% 123% 41%     -37 8 -30 -45      
MAY   84% 42% 126% 42%     -40 13 -28 -53      
JUN   83% 42% 124% 41%     -35 8 -27 -43      
JUL   80% 41% 121% 40%     -28 18 -10 -47      
AUG   77% 39% 116% 38%     -30 17 -12 -47      


Last Updated on 3/9/99
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