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Dr. William I. Tierney, Jr.   E-mail: wtierney@agecon.ksu.edu
Copyright 1998. All rights reserved by author.

Disclaimer: This web page is designed to aid farmers with their marketing and risk management decisions. The risk of loss in trading futures, options, forward contracts, and hedge-to-arrive can be substantial and no warranty is given or implied by the author or any other party. Each farmer must consider whether such marketing strategies are appropriate for his or her situation. This web page does not represent the views of Kansas State University.

 

Kansas City (soybeans)

MONTHLY AVERAGE SOYBEAN PRICE (AVERAGE OF WEDNESDAY PRICES)
(Cents/Bu.)
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 887 828 824 788 758 736 792 798 853 791 513 671   770
1984 628 626 641 600 595 596 608 608 593 592 572 521   598
1985 521 506 508 520 531 530 543 539 545 546 534 514   528
1986 504 474 487 480 482 478 488 509 547 562 541 519   506
1987 525 512 411 581 607 609 617 655 713 864 850 843   649
1988 841 780 763 778 780 755 770 737 735 719 703 601   747
1989 593 557 574 578 565 568 578 591 618 609 456 614   575
1990 618 609 579 585 569 576 585 597 588 583 555 561   584
1991 598 571 572 565 574 576 593 585 609 615 589 552   583
1992 555 532 418 567 576 566 582 591 597 601 702 516   567
1993 648 456 661 689 700 517 692 504 690 691 458 563   606
1994 549 526 544 557 549 547 561 565 565 586 620 608   565
1995 628 647 680 719 740 732 726 789 803 763 783 802   734
1996 808 705 697 698 732 763 819 860 850 830 757 736   771
1997 711 664 709 690 672 669 658 641 643 639 640 534   656
1998 540 531 #### #### #### #### #### #### #### #### #### ####   ####
1999                            
2000                            
                             

SEASONAL INDEX (MONTHLY PRICE AS A PERCENT OF SEASON AVERAGE PRICE)

                             
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 115% 108% 107% 102% 98% 96% 103% 104% 111% 103% 67% 87%   100%
1984 105% 105% 107% 100% 99% 100% 102% 102% 99% 99% 96% 87%   100%
1985 99% 96% 96% 99% 101% 100% 103% 102% 103% 103% 101% 97%   100%
1986 100% 94% 96% 95% 95% 94% 96% 101% 108% 111% 107% 103%   100%
1987 81% 79% 63% 90% 94% 94% 95% 101% 110% 133% 131% 130%   100%
1988 113% 104% 102% 104% 104% 101% 103% 99% 98% 96% 94% 81%   100%
1989 103% 97% 100% 100% 98% 99% 100% 103% 108% 106% 79% 107%   100%
1990 106% 104% 99% 100% 97% 99% 100% 102% 101% 100% 95% 96%   100%
1991 103% 98% 98% 97% 98% 99% 102% 100% 104% 105% 101% 95%   100%
1992 98% 94% 74% 100% 102% 100% 103% 104% 105% 106% 124% 91%   100%
1993 107% 75% 109% 114% 115% 85% 114% 83% 114% 114% 76% 93%   100%
1994 97% 93% 96% 99% 97% 97% 99% 100% 100% 104% 110% 108%   100%
1995 86% 88% 93% 98% 101% 100% 99% 107% 109% 104% 107% 109%   100%
1996 105% 91% 90% 91% 95% 99% 106% 111% 110% 108% 98% 95%   100%
1997 108% 101% 108% 105% 102% 102% 100% 98% 98% 97% 98% 81%   100%
1998 #### #### #### ####                   ####
1999                            
2000                            
                             
MONTHLY AVERAGE NEARBY SOYBEAN BASIS (AVERAGE OF WEDNESDAY PRICES)
(Cents/Bu.)
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 -16 -4 -8 1 -8 8 3 7 4 6 16 36   4
1984 12 15 19 8 3 16 13 9 12 17 20 -20   10
1985 7 2 -3 4 -12 5 7 9 11 17 18 37   8
1986 27 -6 -15 -13 -15 -12 -3 -1 -8 -3 6 10   -3
1987 1 -28 -16 -13 -17 -9 -12 -17 -23 -30 -28 -17   -17
1988 -20 -17 -20 -5 -10 3 -2 5 6 -8 13 19   -3
1989 19 -7 -8 3 -8 0 -14 -6 -18 7 6 11   -1
1990 -7 -6 -3 2 -1 3 -1 10 8 12 16 2   3
1991 0 5 11 8 2 1 -3 11 2 3 11 4   5
1992 5 -6 -4 -1 -5 -7 -4 -2 -6 -1 -4 4   -3
1993 8 -6 -10 5 -2 6 6 8 12 6 4 -9   2
1994 -9 -14 -21 -5 -8 -7 -14 -10 -18 -6 3 12   -8
1995 -4 -9 -6 -2 -5 1 -3 0 -8 -8 -2 8   -3
1996 14 -11 -2 -1 3 -2 -10 2 -13 3 29 72   7
1997 70 -6 -10 0 -1 -1 -1 2 4 7 6 -5   5
1998 9 -18                       -4
1999                            
2000                            
                             
                             
   

CASH PRICES

NEARBY BASIS

   
   

10 YEAR SEAS. INDEX

10 YEAR SEASONAL

   
        AVG AVG         AVG AVG      
      STD +STD -STD THIS     STD +STD -STD THIS    
    AVG DEV DEV DEV YEAR   AVG DEV DEV DEV YEAR    
MONTH  

(% of Season Avg. Price)

(c/bu)

 

(Cents/Bu.)

   
=   = = = = =   = = = = =    
SEP   103% 7% 110% 95% 540   8 23 31 -16 9.13    
OCT   95% 8% 103% 86% 531   -8 6 -2 -13 -17.6    
NOV   97% 10% 107% 87% ####   -7 9 1 -16 0    
DEC   101% 6% 107% 95% ####   0 4 4 -3 0    
JAN   101% 6% 107% 96%     -3 4 1 -8      
FEB   98% 4% 102% 94%     0 4 4 -4      
MAR   103% 4% 107% 98%     -4 6 2 -10      
APR   101% 7% 108% 94%     2 6 8 -4      
MAY   105% 5% 110% 100%     -3 10 7 -13      
JUN   104% 5% 109% 99%     1 7 8 -5      
JUL   98% 13% 111% 85%     8 9 17 -1      
AUG   96% 10% 105% 86%     12 22 33 -10      


Last Updated on 3/9/99
By Agricultural Economics

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