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Dr. William I. Tierney, Jr.   E-mail: wtierney@agecon.ksu.edu
Copyright 1998. All rights reserved by author.

Disclaimer: This web page is designed to aid farmers with their marketing and risk management decisions. The risk of loss in trading futures, options, forward contracts, and hedge-to-arrive can be substantial and no warranty is given or implied by the author or any other party. Each farmer must consider whether such marketing strategies are appropriate for his or her situation. This web page does not represent the views of Kansas State University.

 


Pratt (soybeans)

MONTHLY AVERAGE SOYBEAN PRICE (AVERAGE OF WEDNESDAY PRICES)

(Cents/Bu.)

YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 839 784 774 742 718 692 745 757 811 746 645 627   740
1984 590 590 588 567 559 557 573 576 560 562 542 495   563
1985 486 471 480 492 499 490 502 497 513 514 507 489   495
1986 482 441 458 445 450 448 465 479 517 535 517 493   477
1987 493 483 505 542 574 579 590 632 691 844 789 824   629
1988 811 753 738 748 743 718 731 700 699 685 672 572   714
1989 553 521 534 539 531 532 546 554 583 573 582 582   552
1990 584 576 545 551 400 543 554 562 554 551 523 528   539
1991 566 541 533 532 537 542 563 549 579 581 550 517   549
1992 521 498 519 530 540 534 549 556 565 564 672 647   558
1993 617 569 627 654 665 653 662 642 656 661 569 535   626
1994 517 497 524 527 514 513 524 534 533 552 586 571   533
1995 602 618 647 687 707 698 692 756 772 728 745 762   701
1996 749 669 664 667 689 729 786 814 837 803 732 680   735
1997 635 625 674 657 634 634 621 605 608 601 594 507   616
1998 477 497 531 524 #### #### #### #### #### #### #### ####   ####
1999                            
2000                            
                             

SEASONAL INDEX (MONTHLY PRICE AS A PERCENT OF SEASON AVERAGE PRICE)

                             
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 113% 106% 105% 100% 97% 94% 101% 102% 110% 101% 87% 85%   100%
1984 105% 105% 104% 101% 99% 99% 102% 102% 99% 100% 96% 88%   100%
1985 98% 95% 97% 99% 101% 99% 101% 100% 104% 104% 102% 99%   100%
1986 101% 92% 96% 93% 94% 94% 97% 100% 108% 112% 108% 103%   100%
1987 78% 77% 80% 86% 91% 92% 94% 101% 110% 134% 126% 131%   100%
1988 114% 105% 103% 105% 104% 101% 102% 98% 98% 96% 94% 80%   100%
1989 100% 94% 97% 98% 96% 96% 99% 100% 105% 104% 105% 105%   100%
1990 108% 107% 101% 102% 74% 101% 103% 104% 103% 102% 97% 98%   100%
1991 103% 99% 97% 97% 98% 99% 102% 100% 105% 106% 100% 94%   100%
1992 93% 89% 93% 95% 97% 96% 98% 100% 101% 101% 120% 116%   100%
1993 99% 91% 100% 104% 106% 104% 106% 103% 105% 106% 91% 85%   100%
1994 97% 93% 98% 99% 96% 96% 98% 100% 100% 104% 110% 107%   100%
1995 86% 88% 92% 98% 101% 100% 99% 108% 110% 104% 106% 109%   100%
1996 102% 91% 90% 91% 94% 99% 107% 111% 114% 109% 100% 93%   100%
1997 103% 101% 109% 107% 103% 103% 101% 98% 99% 97% 96% 82%   100%
1998 #### #### #### ####                   ####
1999                            
2000                            
                             
MONTHLY AVERAGE NEARBY SOYBEAN BASIS (AVERAGE OF WEDNESDAY PRICES)
(Cents/Bu.)
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 -65 -48 -58 -45 -48 -36 -44 -34 -39 -40 -26 -9   -41
1984 -26 -21 -34 -24 -33 -23 -22 -23 -21 -13 -10 -20   -23
1985 -27 -34 -31 -29 -46 -36 -35 -33 -20 -15 -8 12   -25
1986 5 -40 -44 -48 -46 -42 -25 -31 -38 -30 -18 -16   -31
1987 -31 -57 -60 -52 -50 -40 -39 -39 -45 -49 -89 -35   -49
1988 -49 -44 -45 -35 -46 -34 -40 -33 -31 -41 -17 -10   -35
1989 -22 -43 -48 -36 -42 -36 -46 -43 -53 -29 -29 -22   -37
1990 -41 -39 -37 -33 -28 -30 -32 -17 -26 -20 -17 -30   -29
1991 -33 -24 -21 -25 -29 -32 -33 -24 -28 -32 -28 -32   -28
1992 -29 -40 -43 -38 -41 -39 -36 -37 -38 -38 -35 -29   -37
1993 -24 -45 -44 -31 -36 -28 -24 -22 -22 -23 -32 -38   -31
1994 -47 -43 -41 -35 -43 -41 -51 -41 -50 -40 -32 -25   -41
1995 -34 -38 -38 -34 -38 -33 -37 -32 -42 -44 -34 -32   -36
1996 -45 -47 -35 -32 -30 -36 -42 -43 -26 -18 4 16   -28
1997 -6 -48 -37 -43 -39 -38 -37 -34 -31 -32 -26 -33   -34
1998 -45 -51 -46 -38                   -45
1999                            
2000                            
                             
                             
    CASH PRICES NEARBY BASIS    
    10 YEAR SEAS. INDEX 10 YEAR SEASONAL    
        AVG AVG         AVG AVG      
      STD +STD -STD THIS     STD +STD -STD THIS    
    AVG DEV DEV DEV YEAR   AVG DEV DEV DEV YEAR    
MONTH   (% of Season Avg. Price) (c/bu)  

(Cents/Bu.)

   
=   = = = = =   = = = = =    
SEP   100% 7% 108% 93% 477   -33 13 -20 -46 -44.5    
OCT   96% 6% 102% 90% 497   -41 6 -35 -47 -51.4    
NOV   98% 5% 104% 93% 531   -39 7 -32 -46 -45.5    
DEC   99% 5% 104% 95% 524   -34 4 -30 -38 -38.1    
JAN   97% 9% 105% 88%     -37 6 -31 -43      
FEB   99% 3% 102% 97%     -35 4 -31 -39      
MAR   102% 3% 104% 99%     -38 7 -31 -45      
APR   102% 4% 106% 98%     -33 9 -24 -41      
MAY   104% 5% 109% 99%     -35 10 -25 -45      
JUN   103% 4% 107% 99%     -32 9 -23 -41      
JUL   102% 8% 110% 94%     -25 11 -13 -36      
AUG   97% 12% 109% 85%     -24 15 -9 -39      


Last Updated on 3/10/99
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