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Dr. William I. Tierney, Jr.   E-mail: wtierney@agecon.ksu.edu
Copyright 1998. All rights reserved by author.

Disclaimer: This web page is designed to aid farmers with their marketing and risk management decisions. The risk of loss in trading futures, options, forward contracts, and hedge-to-arrive can be substantial and no warranty is given or implied by the author or any other party. Each farmer must consider whether such marketing strategies are appropriate for his or her situation. This web page does not represent the views of Kansas State University.

 

Whitewater (soybeans)

MONTHLY AVERAGE SOYBEAN PRICE (AVERAGE OF WEDNESDAY PRICES)
(Cents/Bu.)
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 844 790 781 750 721 696 751 763 811 751 647 630   744
1984 592 591 590 569 563 558 573 578 560 562 548 502   565
1985 488 468 475 488 495 485 496 493 510 509 505 486   491
1986 473 438 453 442 449 451 460 481 519 534 516 494   476
1987 492 480 500 540 573 579 589 629 687 833 801 814   626
1988 806 758 734 745 740 717 734 698 703 683 660 565   712
1989 546       531 538 546 554 584 561 573 579   557
1990 590 583 548 556 541 553 557 565 555 555 527 529   555
1991 571 547 538 540 543 547 563 552 579 584 547 520   553
1992 525 502 525 534 542 537 553 562 571 570 678 657   563
1993 623 578 633 659 670 661 664 645 664 667 572 541   631
1994 521 498 528 529 519 518 527 532 534 552 582 575   534
1995 602 622 649 690 706 698 695 760 771 732 747 765   703
1996 747 670 667 665 696 731 788 816 840 802 753 687   738
1997 642 627 677 657 632 630 623 609 612 607 599 511   619
1998 486 501 523 520 #### #### #### #### #### #### #### ####   ####
1999                            
2000                            
                             

SEASONAL INDEX (MONTHLY PRICE AS A PERCENT OF SEASON AVERAGE PRICE)

                             
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 113% 106% 105% 101% 97% 94% 101% 102% 109% 101% 87% 85%   100%
1984 105% 105% 104% 101% 100% 99% 101% 102% 99% 99% 97% 89%   100%
1985 99% 95% 97% 99% 101% 99% 101% 100% 104% 103% 103% 99%   100%
1986 99% 92% 95% 93% 94% 95% 97% 101% 109% 112% 108% 104%   100%
1987 78% 77% 80% 86% 91% 92% 94% 100% 110% 133% 128% 130%   100%
1988 113% 106% 103% 105% 104% 101% 103% 98% 99% 96% 93% 79%   100%
1989 98% 0% 0% 0% 95% 97% 98% 100% 105% 101% 103% 104%   75%
1990 106% 105% 99% 100% 97% 100% 100% 102% 100% 100% 95% 95%   100%
1991 103% 99% 97% 98% 98% 99% 102% 100% 105% 106% 99% 94%   100%
1992 93% 89% 93% 95% 96% 95% 98% 100% 101% 101% 120% 117%   100%
1993 99% 91% 100% 104% 106% 105% 105% 102% 105% 106% 91% 86%   100%
1994 97% 93% 99% 99% 97% 97% 99% 99% 100% 103% 109% 108%   100%
1995 86% 88% 92% 98% 100% 99% 99% 108% 110% 104% 106% 109%   100%
1996 101% 91% 90% 90% 94% 99% 107% 111% 114% 109% 102% 93%   100%
1997 104% 101% 109% 106% 102% 102% 101% 98% 99% 98% 97% 83%   100%
1998 #### #### #### ####                   ####
1999                            
2000                            
                             
MONTHLY AVERAGE NEARBY SOYBEAN BASIS (AVERAGE OF WEDNESDAY PRICES)
(Cents/Bu.)
YEAR SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG   AVG
= = = = = = = = = = = = =   =
1983 -59 -43 -51 -37 -45 -32 -38 -28 -39 -35 -24 -6   -36
1984 -24 -20 -32 -22 -29 -23 -22 -21 -21 -13 -4 -14   -20
1985 -26 -36 -36 -33 -50 -40 -41 -37 -24 -21 -11 9   -29
1986 -4 -43 -49 -51 -47 -39 -31 -29 -35 -31 -19 -15   -33
1987 -32 -60 -66 -54 -51 -40 -39 -42 -49 -61 -77 -45   -51
1988 -54 -39 -49 -38 -50 -35 -37 -34 -27 -44 -29 -18   -38
1989 -16       -42 -30 -45 -43 -52 -41 -63 -25   -40
1990 -35 -32 -34 -27 -29 -21 -29 -22 -25 -17 -12 -29   -26
1991 -28 -19 -17 -11 -24 -27 -32 -22 -28 -28 -31 -29   -24
1992 -25 -36 -37 -34 -39 -36 -32 -31 -31 -32 -29 -19   -32
1993 -18 -36 -37 -26 -31 -21 -22 -19 -15 -18 -29 -32   -25
1994 -43 -42 -37 -33 -38 -35 -48 -43 -49 -41 -35 -22   -39
1995 -34 -34 -36 -31 -39 -34 -34 -28 -43 -39 -32 -29   -34
1996 -47 -46 -32 -35 -24 -34 -40 -41 -23 -26 5 23   -27
1997 2 -45 -46 -42 -42 -42 -35 -30 -27 -25 -28 -19   -32
1998 -36 -47 -28 -42                   -38
1999                            
2000                            
                             
                             
    CASH PRICES NEARBY BASIS    
    10 YEAR SEAS. INDEX 10 YEAR SEASONAL    
        AVG AVG         AVG AVG      
      STD +STD -STD THIS     STD +STD -STD THIS    
    AVG DEV DEV DEV YEAR   AVG DEV DEV DEV YEAR    
MONTH   (% of Season Avg. Price) (c/bu)   (Cents/Bu.)    
=   = = = = =   = = = = =    
SEP   100% 7% 107% 93% 486   -30 16 -14 -45 -35.6    
OCT   86% 29% 116% 57% 501   -37 8 -29 -44 -46.9    
NOV   88% 30% 118% 58% 523   -36 9 -28 -45 -27.7    
DEC   90% 30% 120% 59% 520   -31 9 -22 -39 -42.1    
JAN   99% 4% 103% 95%     -36 8 -28 -44      
FEB   99% 3% 102% 97%     -31 7 -25 -38      
MAR   101% 3% 104% 98%     -35 7 -28 -43      
APR   102% 4% 106% 98%     -31 9 -23 -40      
MAY   104% 5% 108% 99%     -32 11 -21 -43      
JUN   102% 4% 106% 99%     -31 9 -22 -40      
JUL   101% 8% 110% 93%     -28 16 -12 -45      
AUG   97% 12% 108% 85%     -20 15 -5 -35    

Last Updated on 3/11/99
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