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Dr. William I. Tierney, Jr.   E-mail: wtierney@agecon.ksu.edu
Copyright 1998. All rights reserved by author.

Disclaimer: This web page is designed to aid farmers with their marketing and risk management decisions. The risk of loss in trading futures, options, forward contracts, and hedge-to-arrive can be substantial and no warranty is given or implied by the author or any other party. Each farmer must consider whether such marketing strategies are appropriate for his or her situation. This web page does not represent the views of Kansas State University.

 

US Soybean Quarterly Supply and Demand Balance Table
(Mln Bu)

Current: Nov. 22, 1998

This table is displayed in two parts for easier viewing and printing. Part 2 (87/88-98/99) is directly below Part 1 (75/76-86/87).

Part 1 (75/76-86/87)

Quarter   75/76 76/77 77/78 78/79 79/80 80/81 81/82 82/83 83/84 84/85 85/86 86/87
                           
  Production 1,548 1,289 1,767 1,869 2,261 1,798 1,989 2,190 1,636 1,861 2,099 1,943
  Stocks 188 245 103 161 176 358 313 254 345 176 316 536
  Imports 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
  TOTAL SUPPLY 1,736 1,534 1,870 2,030 2,437 2,156 2,302 2,444 1,981 2,037 2,415 2,479
                           
Sep-Nov Crush 199 215 213 250 273 278 277 284 270 254 267 296
  Residual 4 6 5 -6 -26 5 -12 -36 48 15 21 10
  DOMESTIC USE 203 221 218 244 248 283 265 248 318 269 288 306
  EXPORTS 149 150 180 227 248 177 255 245 191 153 167 216
  TOTAL USAGE 352 370 398 471 496 460 520 493 509 422 455 522
                           
  DEC 1 STOCKS 1,385 1,164 1,472 1,559 1,942 1,696 1,782 1,951 1,472 1,615 1,960 1,957
  Free Stocks# 1,685 1,155 1,424 1,526 1,896 1,660 1,674 1,681 1,385 1,507 1,543 1,388
                           
  Price ($/Bu.)@ $4.90 $6.22 $5.35 $6.29 $6.49 $7.82 $6.10 $5.21 $8.01 $6.06 $4.92 $4.67
                           
Dec-Feb Crush 222 216 247 268 311 266 284 315 262 276 283 320
  Residual 7 20 38 25 25 10 41 24 18 50 35 63
  DOMESTIC USE 229 236 285 293 336 276 325 339 280 326 318 383
  EXPORTS 154 168 164 201 237 202 247 266 236 228 271 235
  TOTAL USAGE 383 404 449 494 573 478 572 605 516 554 589 618
                           
  MAR 1 STOCKS 1,002 760 1,023 1,065 1,369 1,218 1,211 1,346 956 1,061 1,371 1,339
  Free Stocks# 1,002 750 941 1,015 1,268 1,109 1,004 952 844 817 765 622
                           
  Price ($/Bu.)@ $4.41 $6.81 $5.65 $6.69 $6.29 $7.70 $6.06 $5.56 $7.63 $5.82 $5.11 $4.68
                           
Mar-May Crush 235 203 250 260 288 256 254 260 240 258 262 297
  Seed 30 35 39 43 50 35 39 26 28 41 39 45
  Residual 30 16 9 38 32 15 16 54 11 1 -4 1
  DOMESTIC USE 294 254 298 341 369 305 308 340 279 300 296 343
  EXPORTS 152 171 219 198 225 232 256 215 205 153 226 159
  TOTAL USAGE 447 424 517 539 594 537 564 555 484 453 522 502
                           
  JUN 1 STOCKS 555 336 506 526 774 681 646 791 472 608 849 837
  Free Stocks# 555 326 464 494 689 586 495 503 418 399 321 243
                           
  Price ($/Bu.)@ $4.62 $8.71 $6.49 $7.09 $5.77 $7.53 $6.14 $5.99 $7.91 $5.82 $5.23 $4.94
                           
Jun-Aug Crush 209 156 217 240 251 220 215 249 211 242 241 266
  Seed 23 28 30 33 18 31 32 35 37 20 21 11
  Residual -23 -27 -39 -36 -18 4 -25 -17 -63 -34 -25 -24
  DOMESTIC USE 209 157 208 238 251 255 221 267 185 228 237 253
  EXPORTS 101 76 137 113 165 113 171 179 111 64 76 147
  TOTAL USAGE 310 233 345 351 416 368 392 446 296 292 313 400
                           
  SEP 1 STOCKS 245 103 161 176 358 313 254 345 176 316 536 436
  Free Stocks# 245 99 144 163 317 257 170 204 148 155 82 39
                           
  Price ($/Bu.)@ $6.32 $6.71 $6.43 $7.26 $6.56 $6.96 $5.90 $6.58 $7.15 $5.38 $5.09 $5.21

# Free Stocks=Total Stocks-CCC-Loan
@ Price=National Average Price Received by Farmers

Part 2 (87/88-98/99)

Quarter

 

87/88 88/89 89/90 90/91 91/92 92/93 93/94 94/95 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99
                           
  Production 1,938 1,549 1,924 1,926 1,987 2,190 1,871 2,517 2,177 2,382 2,703 2,763
  Stocks 436 302 182 239 329 278 292 209 335 183 132 200
  Imports 1 4 3 3 3 3 6 5 4 9 5 6
  TOTAL SUPPLY 2,375 1,855 2,109 2,168 2,319 2,471 2,170 2,731 2,516 2,575 2,839 2,968
                           
Sep-Nov Crush 293 275 273 304 321 328 327 348 351 361 396 420
  Residual 63 75 56 60 52 75 94 58 98 102 78 96
  DOMESTIC USE 356 350 329 364 373 403 420 405 449 462 474 515
  EXPORTS 261 138 169 120 167 232 176 221 234 290 365 268
  TOTAL USAGE 617 488 498 484 540 635 596 626 683 752 839 783
                           
  DEC 1 STOCKS 1,758 1,367 1,611 1,684 1,779 1,836 1,574 2,105 1,833 1,823 1,999 2,185
  Free Stocks# 1,482 1,315 1,490 1,558 1,653 1,714 1,472 1,982 1,781 1,716 1,854 2,005
                           
  Price ($/Bu.)@ $5.14 $7.63 $5.64 $5.88 $5.54 $5.32 $6.18 $5.32 $6.18 $7.21 $6.69 $5.31
                           
Dec-Feb Crush 318 287 304 299 324 335 328 372 359 401 443 448
  Residual 34 -2 35 15 18 18 11 78 6 33 47 39
  DOMESTIC USE 352 285 339 314 342 353 339 450 365 434 490 487
  EXPORTS 259 192 216 180 260 267 213 285 279 333 306 295
  TOTAL USAGE 611 477 555 494 602 620 552 735 644 767 796 782
                           
  MAR 1 STOCKS 1,148 890 1,056 1,190 1,177 1,216 1,022 1,370 1,190 1,056 1,203 1,402
  Free Stocks# 878 793 883 982 1,035 1,051 935 1,096 1,060 915 990 1,077
                           
  Price ($/Bu.)@ $5.77 $7.54 $5.62 $5.69 $5.53 $5.53 $6.69 $5.43 $6.85 $7.14 $6.66 $5.51
                           
Mar-May Crush 308 270 291 292 304 325 322 362 334 356 405 419
  Seed 48 36 21 28 39 22 46 22 32 41 39 41
  Residual -49 -12 -6 0 -10 21 -17 -15 13 -7 -1 -6
  DOMESTIC USE 306 295 306 320 334 369 350 369 379 391 443 453
  EXPORTS 185 131 154 147 148 163 116 209 188 166 120 167
  TOTAL USAGE 491 426 460 467 482 532 466 578 567 556 563 620
                           
  JUN 1 STOCKS 656 465 596 724 696 683 555 792 623 499 594 782
  Free Stocks# 493 395 495 571 588 558 508 581 538 404 437 552
                           
  Price ($/Bu.)@ $6.47 $7.33 $5.81 $5.73 $5.73 $5.73 $6.69 $5.54 $7.40 $8.20 $6.31 $5.74
                           
Jun-Aug Crush 255 226 278 292 305 290 299 323 325 319 354 329
  Seed 12 23 35 29 16 42 21 50 41 42 47 45
  Residual -10 -32 -40 -37 -12 -47 -59 -40 -77 -85 -39 -67
  DOMESTIC USE 257 217 273 285 309 285 262 334 289 275 362 307
  EXPORTS 97 66 84 110 109 107 84 123 150 93 79 110
  TOTAL USAGE 354 283 357 395 418 391 346 457 439 368 440 417
                           
  SEP 1 STOCKS 302 182 239 329 278 292 209 335 183 132 200 365
  Free Stocks# 253 165 212 276 239 236 199 262 165 110 153 280
                           
  Price ($/Bu.)@ $8.34 $6.65 $5.95 $5.53 $5.64 $6.25 $6.07 $5.60 $7.62 $7.65 $5.90 $5.03

# Free Stocks=Total Stocks-CCC-Loan
@ Price=National Average Price Received by Farmers


Last Updated on 2/12/99
By Agricultural Economics

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